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Clin Gastroenterology H: 克罗恩病患者接受抗肿瘤坏死因子治疗终止后复发的危险因素分析

2021-05-04 MedSci原创 MedSci原创

抗肿瘤坏死因子(TNF)治疗是中重度克罗恩病(CD)患者的诱导和维持治疗的关键疗法。在过去的20年中,CD患者使用抗肿瘤坏死因子已从3%显着增加到41%。

      抗肿瘤坏死因子(TNF)治疗是中重度克罗恩病(CD)患者的诱导和维持治疗的关键疗法。在过去的20年中,CD患者使用抗肿瘤坏死因子已从3%显着增加到41%。尽管抗肿瘤坏死因子的使用具有很大的治疗作用,但是延长抗TNF治疗的主要缺点是会增加恶性肿瘤的风险。但是在临床实践中,抗TNF治疗的停止是一个困难的决定,因为在个体患者的水平上,不能保证停止治疗后疾病不会出现复发。停止抗TNF治疗后1年内CD复发的总体风险相当恐怖,临床缓解的CD患者的复发约为40%。因此,本项研究旨在探究用于停止抗肿瘤坏死因子(TNF)治疗后克罗恩病(CD)复发风险分层的预测工具。

 

      本项研究共纳入了数据库中所有样本大于30名CD患者的临床队列研究,将CD患者的6个月或更长时间的抗TNF治疗数据收集起来,然后使用之前经过验证的STORI模型进行初期判别(一致性统计量[C-statistic])和校准(观察到的风险与预测的风险之间的一致性)。最后构建更新的预后模型,并通过交叉验证进行了性能评估。

 

      本项研究纳入的文献来自11个国家/地区的14项研究,总共有1317例患者。随访中位时间为13个月,在1317例患者中有632例发生了抗TNF停止治疗后的疾病复发,1年复发率为38%。STORI预测模型显示出较差的判别能力(C指数,0.51)。更新后的模型具有更好的判别能力(C指数,0.59),研究结果发现使用抗肿瘤坏死因子治疗停止后疾病复发的危险因素是患者更为严重的临床症状([HR],2.2; 95%CI,1.2–4),诊断时年龄较小(HR,1.5;95%CI,1.11-1.89),没有使用免疫抑制剂治疗(HR,1.4; 95%CI,1.18-172),吸烟(HR,1.4; 95%CI,1.15-1.67),上消化道受累(HR,1.3; 95%CI,0.96-1.79),戒烟年龄较晚(HR,1.2; 95%CI,1-1.33),C反应蛋白较高(HR,1.04; 95%CI,1.00-1.08)和更长的病史(HR,1.07; 95%CI,0.98-1.17)。

图:抗肿瘤坏死因子对于疾病复发的影响

 

      本项研究发现通过改进后的临床预测模型,医生能够更好的鉴别出影响CD患者抗TNF治疗停止后疾病复发的危险因素。

 

 

原始出处:

Renske W.M. et al. Prediction of Relapse After Anti–Tumor Necrosis Factor Cessation in Crohn’s Disease: Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis of 1317 Patients From 14 Studies. Clin Gastroenterology H.2021.

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    2021-07-31 许安
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    2021-05-06 millore
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